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The Gold Investor’s Biggest Risk
By Jeff Clark, Casey Research
While we’re convinced that our gold and silver investments will pay off, they don’t come without risk. What do you suppose is the biggest risk we face? Another 2008-style selloff? Gold stocks never breaking out of their funk? Maybe a depression that slams our standard of living?
Though those things are possible, we at Casey Research don’t see that as your greatest threat:
“Your biggest risk is not that gold or silver may fall in price. Nor is it that gold stocks could take longer to catch fire than we think. Not even the prospect of the Greater Depression. No, your biggest risk is political. As bankrupt governments get increasingly desperate for revenue, any monetary asset held domestically could be a target. It is absolutely essential that every investor diversify themselves politically. In fact, at this point, it is the one action that should be taken before anything else.” – Doug Casey, September 2011
I know many reading this are prudent investors. You own gold and silver as solid protection against currency debasement, inflation, and faltering economies. You set aside cash for emergencies. You have strong exposure to gold stocks, both producers and juniors, positioned ahead of what is likely the next-favored asset class. You feel protected and poised to profit.
Yet, despite all this preparation, you remain exposed to one of the biggest risks. Continue reading
How to Preserve Your Capital in a Depression
In this article Doug Casey presents the case that we are in the early stages of an inflationary depression, commodities are soaring and next will be retail prices. In an inflationary depression financial assets aren’t worth the paper they are printed on and currently they are precious few bargains available in paper assets anyway. So what can you do to protect yourself? In this excellent analysis Doug shows what we can do now… before it’s too late. Tim McMahon, editor
Keeping Capital in a Depression
By Doug Casey, The Casey Report
Nothing is cheap in today’s investment world. Because of the trillions of currency units that governments all over the world have created – and are continuing to create – financial assets are grossly overpriced. Stocks, bonds, property, commodities and cash are no bargains. Meanwhile, real wages are slipping rapidly among those who are working, and a large portion of the population is unemployed or underemployed.
The next chapter in this sad drama will include a rapid rise in consumer prices. At the beginning of this year, we saw the grains – wheat, corn, soybeans and oats – go up an average of 36% within one month. In the same time frame, hogs were up 30.7%. Copper was up 29.1%. Oil was up 14%. Cotton was up 118%. Raw commodities are the first things to move in an inflationary boom, largely because they’re essential to everything. Retail prices are generally the last to move, partly because Continue reading
Just Your Average 300-Year Bear Market?
Long-Term Trend Forecasting is Actually Easier than Short-Term
By Robert Jay
Most people who analyze the present give too little thought to the past, even when previous decades or centuries offer acutely relevant information. This is particularly true in the financial world, where short attention spans are chronic. A Sept. 9 article in The Economist magazine put it this way:
“The financial world seems to be obsessed with the short term. Fund managers are usually judged on their performance over a three-month period. The television news highlights daily moves in stock markets. Lots of hedge funds think in terms of milliseconds.”
But would you be surprised to learn that long-term stock market trends are generally easier to forecast than short-term ones? EWI’s Robert Prechter says just that, and explains why…
Read the rest of this Entry
Stocks Setting up for Big Slide
By Tim McMahon, editor
Historically whenever the 10-year Treasury yield drops 1.2% over a short period of time a bear market for stocks resulted within two months . This signal presaged steep market crashes in 1990, 2000, and 2007.
The Treasury yield signal is now flashing a major warning. On April 5th, 2010 the 10-year Treasury bond was yielding 4.01% and is currently yielding only 2.79%. So over four months the T-bond yield has fallen 1.22%. By this signal we can expect a 20% drop in the stock market over the next two months and it is possible that the beginning of that drop has begun today with a 2.5% drop. Continue reading
A Central Bank’s Toolkit to fight a Depression
By Ted Peroulakis
This investment news is brought to you by Investor’s Daily Edge a free daily investment newsletter that is delivered by email before the market opens. It’s published by Fourth Avenue Financial, a subsidiary of Early To Rise (an affiliate company of Agora Publishing). In each weekday issue you’ll receive practical strategies for protecting your portfolio and multiplying your money. You’ll also learn about undiscovered opportunities in emerging sectors and markets, deeply discounted stocks, recommendations for bonds, cash, commodity and real estate investing, and top ETFs. To view archives or subscribe, visit Investor’s Daily Edge.
I know as you read this, you are aware that America and the world are currently experiencing an economic crisis.
Many economic experts say we could be heading towards a worsening recession or even a depression.
In this article, I have listed a few tools that a government has at its disposal to pull itself out of a recession and even avoid a depression.
It’s good to be aware of the intervention tools governments use to prop up an economy in order to better protect your wealth and purchasing power. Continue reading
Can the Feds Lie Their Way Out of a Depression?
By Rusty McDougal
You know they are trying to accomplish this ignominious feat. The goal is to keep Americans in an economic stupor. It is working.
Lies and deceit are pervasive. Newspapers, magazines, TV broadcasts, economic analysis and official prognostications are all based on shady statistics. Junk in… junk out. Continue reading
Elliott Wave Books
Anyone who has spent much time on this site is familiar with Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave. His fantastic team has been providing us with individual articles and links to some excellent information over at elliottwave.com.
Their experienced analysts keep a constant eye on the markets, and provide insights into trends that are available nowhere else. What could be better than having someone of that caliber to turn to in times of uncertainty? Continue reading
Can the Government Stop Another Great Depression?
The following article is excerpted from a recent issue Elliott Wave International’s Financial Forecast.
Elliott Wave International (EWI) is offering the full 10-page issue, entitled “The Most Important Investment Report You’ll Read in 2009,” free for a limited time. In addition to the following market commentary, it includes independent forecasts of stocks, bonds, metals, the U.S. dollar and economic trends.
Visit EWI to download the full report, free. Continue reading
Special Market Alert! Have we seen the bottom?
On Wednesday March 12th the market neared its October lows but extremely significantly DID NOT break through to new LOWS! This is extremely Bullish!
The following table shows the October lows compared to the March lows. Continue reading
An Investment Lesson from Deflation Scares
On November 6, 2002, The Wall Street Journal, in a front-page article entitled “Inside the FED, Deflation draws a closer look”, stated that the FED was discussing the possibility of deflation at a country inn in Woodstock, VT. It said “central bank officials” attended this ominous-sounding meeting.
But wait, when was this meeting? A careful reading of the article reveals that the meeting happened in 1999! This is news? A meeting three years ago is now making headlines? What gives?
Why would the WSJ publish it now? Why not 3 years ago? The answer is simple and once you understand the ““why” of it you will become a much wiser investor.
The why is simple… front page headlines sell papers. Continue reading
